Panalysis is a system that incorporates operations management and financial modeling techniques within the field of pandemic planning. Panalysis is more than just a model to project the possible number of casualties during a pandemic for a given population set. It is a tool for scenario planning. It provides a framework to guide the underlying planning and response process.
Panalysis considers the magnitude and shape of the pandemic casualty surge with respect to the resources available within a hospital or region to handle the inflow of patients. Because of this, Panalysis can be used to calculate casualties that could have been prevented if not for shortages.
We speculate that effective augmentation strategies in conjunction with proper resource allocation can reduce fatalities by over 40% during a severe pandemic. It is well known that the influenza that occurred in 1918 killed approximately 660,000 Americans out of a population of 100 million. That same influenza is also estimated to have killed between 50 to 100 million of what was then the world's population of 1.8 billion people.
PanalysisBasic is available for download on this site. Among its other uses, it enables the user to consider the effects of:
Through customization and the integration of other Panalysis worksheets, Panalysis can be used for a host of other purposes. Uses through customization include:
The establishment of standardized metrics and benchmarks will make pandemic data-based results comparable across hospitals, organizations, regions and at the country level. Pandemic managers will finally be able to measure the effects of pandemics on their hospitals and regions as benchmarked by their peer groups. Once we can measure the effects of Pandemics we can manage them.
To learn more about Panalysis:
Read our journal article: "Panalysis: New Spreadsheet-Based Tool for Pandemic Planning" authored with members of the Center for Biosecurity at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center as published in "Biosecurity and Bioterrorism: Biodefense Strategy, Practice, and Science".
"Existing pandemic planning models for healthcare enable the user to calculate some potential shortages through the distribution of casualties using historical data. Panalysis improves upon these tools by including the dynamic relationship between patient surge and limited resources and by enabling the testing of mitigation and response strategies."
--- From "Panalysis: New Spreadsheet-Based Tool for Pandemic Planning"
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